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MYANMAR – BACK TO TURBULENT WATERS

Coup_

Table of Contents

INTRODUCTION

Myanmar, also known as Burma, was ruled by the Armed Forces from 1962 until 2011, when a new government began ushering in a return to civilian rule. Though Democracy was given a chance in Myanmar, it was like a velvet gloved iron-fist. Military had an iron grip over the elected parliament since the most strategic and powerful ministries like Defence, Home etc. remained with the Military Generals. Army retained the power to dissolve the elected parliament too. Aung San Suu Kyi, Myanmar’s de facto leader, spent nearly 15 years in detention and house arrest between 1989 and 2010. She was internationally hailed as a beacon of democracy and received Nobel Peace Prize in 1991.Aung San Suu Kyi, 75, is the daughter of Myanmar’s independence hero, Gen Aung San who was assassinated just before the country gained independence from British colonial rule in 1948.She was released in 2010, and in November 2015 she led the NLD to a landslide victory in Myanmar’s first openly contested election for 25 years and became de facto leader.

But her international reputation suffered severely following an army crackdown on the mostly Muslim, Rohingya minority. In 2017 hundreds of thousands of Rohingya fled to neighbouring Bangladesh, due to an army crackdown sparked by deadly attacks on police stations, in Rakhine state. Former democratic supporters of Aung San suu Kyi, accused her of refusing to condemn the military or acknowledge accounts of atrocities committed by the Army. Though her party made peace with the powerful military junta, in-spite of  the blot on her democratic image, now it seems that the honeymoon is over and the Military has run out patience with the people’s rule.
In the first week of February 2021, Myanmar’s military has seized power, after detaining Aung San Suu Kyi and other democratically elected leaders.


MILITARY COUP

Troops are patrolling the streets and a night-time curfew is in force, with a one-year state of emergency declared.US President Joe Biden raised the threat of new sanctions, with the UN and UK also condemning the coup. The army alleges the recent November landslide election win by Ms Suu Kyi’s party was marred by fraud. She urged supporters to “protest against the coup”. The discord between Suu Kyi and Military has been brewing for few months now.
In a letter written in preparation for her impending detention, she said the military’s actions would put the country back under a dictatorship. The military has already announced replacements for a number of ministers. On the streets of the main city, Yangon (Rangoon), people said they felt their hard-fought battle for democracy had been lost. One 25-year-old resident, who asked not to be named, told the BBC: “Waking up to learn your world has been completely turned upside down overnight was not a new feeling, but a feeling that I thought that we had moved on from, and one that I never thought we’d be forced to feel again”.


How did the coup unfold?

In the early hours of Monday, the army’s TV station said the State power had been handed over to commander-in-chief Min Aung Hlaing. Ms Suu Kyi, President Win Myint and other leaders of the National League for Democracy (NLD) were arrested in a series of raids. It is not clear where they are being held. No major violence has been reported. Soldiers blocked roads in the capital, Nay Pyi Taw, and the main city, Yangon. International and domestic TV channels, including the state broadcaster, went off air. Internet and phone services were disrupted. Banks said they had been forced to close.
Later, the military announced that 24 ministers and deputies had been removed, and 11 replacements had been named, including in finance, health, the interior and foreign affairs. A curfew is now reportedly in effect from 20:00 local time to 06:00. The military takeover follows weeks of tensions between the armed forces and the government following parliamentary elections lost by the army-backed opposition .
The opposition had demanded a re-run of the election, raising allegations of widespread fraud that were not backed by the National Electoral Commission. The Armed Forces in Myanmar have confirmed that they have carried out a coup d’etat, their first against a civilian government since 1962, and in apparent violation of the constitution which the military promised to honour as recently as last Saturday.

The grievances which have been driving tension between the military and the government are well enough known. The military-backed party, the USDP, performed poorly in last November’s general election, whereas the NLD did even better than in 2015.The timing of this coup is also easily explained. This week the first session of parliament since the election was due to start, which would have enshrined the election result by approving the next government. That will no longer happen.
However, the military’s longer game plan is hard to fathom. What do they plan to do in the year they have given themselves to run the country? There will be public anger over a coup so soon after an election in which 70% of voters defied the Covid-19 pandemic to vote, so overwhelmingly for Aung San Suu Kyi. Famously stubborn, she is unlikely to co-operate with a gun held to her head. Her ally, President Win Myint, is the only person authorised under the constitution to enact a state of emergency. He has been detained with her. For the moment the military’s action appears reckless, and puts Myanmar on a perilous path.

REACTIONS FROM WORLD

Michael Ghilezan, a partner of a US law firm who lives in Yangon, told the BBC he had expected military vehicles and protests in the city, but there was instead an eerie calm. “The most common reaction from my Burmese friends has been anger. They feel deeply betrayed by the military and the USDP. Theinny Oo, a development consultant, told Reuters: “We had a lawful election. People voted for the one they preferred. We have no protection under the law now.” One 64-year-old resident of Hlaing township told AFP: “I don’t want the coup. I have seen many transitions in this country and I was looking forward to a better future.”
Author and historian Thant Myint-U tweeted that a door had opened to a “very different future”, and he feared for the millions who had been descending into poverty.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres called the army’s move a “serious blow to democratic reforms”, as the security council prepared for an emergency meeting. The UN demanded the release of what it said were at least 45 people who had been detained.
US President Joe Biden released a statement saying “force should never seek to overrule the will of the people or attempt to erase the outcome of a credible election”. He said the removal of sanctions over the past decade as Myanmar progressed to democracy would be immediately reviewed, adding: “The United States will stand up for democracy wherever it is under attack.”                                                      In the UK, Prime Minister Boris Johnson condemned the coup and Aung San Suu Kyi’s “unlawful imprisonment”. European Union leaders have issued similar condemnations. China, which has previously opposed international intervention in Myanmar, urged all sides in the country to “resolve differences”, while some regional powers, including Cambodia, Thailand and the Philippines, said it was an “internal matter.


CONCLUSION

Last few days witnessed massive protest rallies by the supporters of Suu Kyi and NLD party against the military coup. In the capital Naypytaw , police fired water cannons at thousands of supporters to disperse them. Curfews are in place in important cities like Yangon and Mandalay, where hordes of people have been demonstrating their protest.
Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, who holds the ultimate power in Myanmar did a televised speech on 8 Feb 21 and promised the people that a fresh election would be held after an year and power would be handed over to the elected government. It looks like Myanmar is again entering a dark age of military rule.

JAI HIND

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